Notre Dame
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
54  Martin Grady SR 31:36
57  Jeremy Rae SR 31:38
202  J.P. Malette SR 32:12
215  Michael Clevenger SO 32:14
361  Jake Kildoo JR 32:41
426  Tim Ball SO 32:50
440  Patrick Lesiewicz SR 32:52
516  Walter Schafer SR 33:02
755  DJ Thornton SR 33:28
1,159  Kevin Durham SO 34:05
1,890  Chris Quinn JR 35:07
National Rank #26 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #4 of 30
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 4.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 35.5%


Regional Champion 3.2%
Top 5 in Regional 96.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Martin Grady Jeremy Rae J.P. Malette Michael Clevenger Jake Kildoo Tim Ball Patrick Lesiewicz Walter Schafer DJ Thornton Kevin Durham Chris Quinn
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 693 32:02 31:26 32:30 32:52 32:47 32:42 32:32 33:29 34:05
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 630 31:55 31:46 32:10 32:09 32:36 32:54 33:15
ACC Championships 11/01 647 31:37 31:49 32:21 32:22 32:51 32:34 33:01 32:54 35:08
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 424 31:28 31:23 31:44 31:57 32:13 33:15 33:01
NCAA Championship 11/23 598 31:15 31:44 32:19 32:09 33:04 32:52 33:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.0% 21.7 508 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.9 5.7 6.1 6.7 6.8 6.7 7.0 7.1 5.6 4.5 2.7 1.6
Region Championship 100% 3.7 106 3.2 9.4 21.6 45.8 15.9 3.6 0.4 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Martin Grady 98.1% 58.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0
Jeremy Rae 97.3% 60.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0
J.P. Malette 96.0% 145.3
Michael Clevenger 96.0% 149.5
Jake Kildoo 96.0% 203.5
Tim Ball 96.0% 215.3
Patrick Lesiewicz 96.0% 218.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Martin Grady 7.8 2.6 5.3 7.2 8.0 7.6 7.4 6.9 6.6 5.4 5.4 5.2 4.4 4.0 3.4 2.7 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.6
Jeremy Rae 8.3 1.5 4.2 5.7 7.4 7.6 7.5 7.7 6.4 6.5 5.8 5.1 4.4 3.6 3.8 3.3 2.5 2.5 2.2 1.6 1.5 1.3 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.9
J.P. Malette 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.8 3.2 4.1 4.5 4.6 5.4 4.9 5.1 4.6 4.3 3.8 3.8 3.4
Michael Clevenger 23.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.7 4.0 4.6 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.5 3.9 4.2 3.8
Jake Kildoo 39.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.6
Tim Ball 46.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5
Patrick Lesiewicz 47.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 3.2% 100.0% 3.2 3.2 1
2 9.4% 100.0% 9.4 9.4 2
3 21.6% 100.0% 0.3 1.1 3.2 5.6 5.3 2.9 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.6 3
4 45.8% 100.0% 0.3 2.3 6.2 10.8 10.8 8.3 4.3 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.8 4
5 15.9% 99.6% 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.3 3.8 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 15.8 5
6 3.6% 2.2% 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.1 6
7 0.4% 0.4 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
Total 100% 96.0% 3.2 9.4 0.3 1.5 5.5 12.3 18.0 16.9 14.4 7.8 4.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 4.0 12.7 83.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Air Force 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Florida State 67.8% 2.0 1.4
Virginia 64.2% 2.0 1.3
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Washington 10.2% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
Southern Utah 6.7% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 2.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 2.0 0.1
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Duke 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 7.6
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 14.0